Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1199.182118 1362.213086 1543.307620 1760.094161 2013.477133 2301.372017 2654.807972
2025-09-14 919.805490 1126.164922 1376.601846 1705.733625 2131.071469 2667.906505 3405.854922
2025-09-21 769.126925 987.371056 1267.652837 1659.213587 2200.448564 2934.710776 4028.047828
2025-09-28 660.284214 879.436595 1173.645006 1605.154052 2235.017533 3141.970447 4586.618393
2025-10-05 611.792667 842.760872 1165.757127 1661.512994 2423.519643 3585.562929 5563.260067
2025-10-12 564.455421 800.286126 1141.886732 1687.390929 2565.029710 3974.132497 6521.936663
2025-10-19 524.582139 763.154932 1119.822811 1710.269877 2700.949959 4369.782210 7565.509060
2025-10-26 490.249871 730.065049 1099.071856 1730.545581 2832.318593 4774.300939 8703.580121
2025-11-02 466.502576 710.474352 1096.471726 1778.733274 3015.896054 5297.354212 10178.539735
2025-11-09 438.232582 680.659178 1073.710002 1788.651850 3130.612725 5708.829676 11515.786113
2025-11-16 412.162636 651.863921 1049.396013 1792.101231 3232.240936 6109.144069 12918.581587
2025-11-23 390.973276 629.212401 1033.052056 1807.443976 3357.712826 6576.802947 14586.400518
2025-11-30 372.979267 611.371792 1024.929529 1840.288053 3529.600382 7188.277728 16808.031801
2025-12-07 343.877246 571.906069 974.813869 1787.003111 3516.979786 7394.455642 18065.023383
2025-12-14 318.452456 536.847765 929.429744 1737.541468 3504.695009 7597.888542 19371.924089
2025-12-21 294.601356 502.782912 882.909021 1680.513855 3467.473119 7734.994960 20532.594347
2025-12-28 287.270888 498.414338 892.147520 1739.995734 3703.336854 8593.643396 24137.417461
2026-01-04 276.678543 487.043631 886.683093 1767.315363 3867.917595 9303.662338 27532.408688
2026-01-11 266.534672 475.704526 880.189684 1791.471998 4028.523064 10037.760265 31292.436857
2026-01-18 256.845609 464.486754 872.898109 1812.882579 4185.645815 10797.342607 35456.716351
2026-01-25 250.646746 459.639204 878.197387 1863.776930 4427.522264 11862.180640 41266.164635
2026-02-01 241.109519 447.399148 866.928771 1874.254260 4563.247375 12636.489833 46264.427057
2026-02-08 231.639142 434.626793 853.459223 1877.898087 4681.019660 13383.329081 51516.710640